FY16 Chief Selection Board

[Tony]

Tony, can you fix the main since the last two should read

 

2014 31JUL2013           WED           NAVADMIN 193/13       1500 EDT

2015 06AUG2014          WED           NAVADMIN 178/14       1240 ZULU

 

Dang it, got you! Hold on, I'll fix it! 

[Guest AWFChief]

Is this right? -> http://forum.navyadvancement.com/index.php/topic/1708-past-active-duty-selection-board-results/

 

I messed up the FY, so it should look like this:

 

FY DATE DAY MESSAGE TIME

 

2001   04AUG2000   TUE     NAVADMIN 198/00    1100 EDT

2002   03AUG2001   FRI      NAVADMIN 197/01    1200 EDT

2003   02AUG2002   FRI      NAVADMIN 238/02    1200 EDT

2004   06AUG2003   WED    NAVADMIN 218/03    1300 EDT

2005   28JUL2004    WED    NAVADMIN 173/04    1100 EDT

2006   28JUL2005    THU     NAVADMIN 183/05    1100 EDT

2007   04AUG2006   FRI      NAVADMIN 221/06    1500 EDT

2008   08AUG2007   WED    NAVADMIN 196/07    1300 EDT

2009   01AUG2008   FRI      NAVADMIN 213/08    1500 EDT

2010   31JUL2009    FRI      NAVADMIN 230/09    1500 EDT

2011   11AUG2010   WED   NAVADMIN 269/10    1300 EDT

2012   01AUG2011   MON   NAVADMIN 233/11    1300 EDT

2013   31JUL2012    TUE    NAVADMIN 232/12    1300 EDT

2014   31JUL2013    WED   NAVADMIN 193/13    1500 EDT

2015   06AUG2014   WED   NAVADMIN 178/14    1240 ZULU

[Guest AWFChief]

Dang it, got you! Hold on, I'll fix it! 

 

It's my bad for messing you up

[Tony]

 

I messed up the FY, so it should look like this:

 

FY DATE DAY MESSAGE TIME

 

2001   04AUG2000   TUE     NAVADMIN 198/00    1100 EDT

2002   03AUG2001   FRI      NAVADMIN 197/01    1200 EDT

2003   02AUG2002   FRI      NAVADMIN 238/02    1200 EDT

2004   06AUG2003   WED    NAVADMIN 218/03    1300 EDT

2005   28JUL2004    WED    NAVADMIN 173/04    1100 EDT

2006   28JUL2005    THU     NAVADMIN 183/05    1100 EDT

2007   04AUG2006   FRI      NAVADMIN 221/06    1500 EDT

2008   08AUG2007   WED    NAVADMIN 196/07    1300 EDT

2009   01AUG2008   FRI      NAVADMIN 213/08    1500 EDT

2010   31JUL2009    FRI      NAVADMIN 230/09    1500 EDT

2011   11AUG2010   WED   NAVADMIN 269/10    1300 EDT

2012   01AUG2011   MON   NAVADMIN 233/11    1300 EDT

2013   31JUL2012    TUE    NAVADMIN 232/12    1300 EDT

2014   31JUL2013    WED   NAVADMIN 193/13    1500 EDT

2015   06AUG2014   WED   NAVADMIN 178/14    1240 ZULU

 

 

 

lol, gotcha, it was me not paying attention. Should be good to go and if not it's because I'm not wearing my glasses (good excuse)!! 

 

Okay, nice and tidy for your alls enjoyment now and in the future. 

 

[Guest AWFChief]

lol, gotcha, it was me not paying attention. Should be good to go and if not it's because I'm not wearing my glasses (good excuse)!! 

 

Okay, nice and tidy for your alls enjoyment now and in the future. 

 

All good now

[Guest AWFChief]

Based on this trend, I might have to change it to Tue and Wed releases, I only see one Thu in this data...could it be the return of a Thu release this year?

Maybe...

[Guest MM1SWAWHOLLIDAY]

In the nursery trying to get my daughter to fall asleep really feeling the anxiety a bit with the work week starting tomorrow I'll be up bright and early 0330 ugh I just wanna know already

[Guest passionateshorty123]

In the nursery trying to get my daughter to fall asleep really feeling the anxiety a bit with the work week starting tomorrow I'll be up bright and early 0330 ugh I just wanna know already

I'm right with you on that 0330 wake up!

[Guest kaput]

Cherish that, this time 3 years ago I was holding my baby girl waiting for her to come home for the first time. 6 weeks in NICU . Now she is running around and just dropped my guitar. lol but those eyes. . Kids change everything. If anything all four are keeping my mind off waiting on the list.

Yeah I am regretting my choices this year. About to PCS in 2 weeks, so the wife and kiddos are in our home town vacationing until I check out... now I am bored AND alone sweating the results. Soooo stupid.

[Tony]

It is also irrelevant of the day of the week (more than likely, not happening on a Friday)

 

Statistically, Friday has a better chance than Monday, Tuesday or Thursday.

[Tony]

Completely agree based on pattern analysis a thurs looks unlikely

 

And here are the percentages

 

Monday 6.67%

Tuesday 13.33%

Wednesday 40.00%

Thursday 6.67%

Friday 33.33%

 

In Order of %

Wednesday 40.00%

Friday 33.33%

Tuesday 13.33%

Thursday 6.67%

Monday 6.67%

[Tony]

Thanks for stat posting, Tony! Looks like a Wednesday release has the best odds.

 

No problem, one thing though is about the new release method, Triad. I'm clueless how it would affect the stats with the "24hr" notice but looking at the the last two years, Wednesday still looks good "statistically" of course. Anyone remember when the new method took affect (Triad)?

[Tony]

I wanna say 2010 or 2011 but my memory is foggy that far back

 

lol, me too. Well, at least we'll be able to refine in the future. Another measuring stick will be the Triad notification of release. Not when the results are release but when that darn office that I cannot remember states the dates Triad will be notified. 

[Guest AWFChief]

lol, me too. Well, at least we'll be able to refine in the future. Another measuring stick will be the Triad notification of release. Not when the results are release but when that darn office that I cannot remember states the dates Triad will be notified.

According to the New Method of Releasing Advancement/Board Results topic, this just got reinstated last year.

[Tony]

According to the New Method of Releasing Advancement/Board Results topic, this just got reinstated last year.

 

I really don't think so or I have some serious Alzheimer's creeping in on me. There's been a few years of bumps and bruises on this one and I think Tomcatz98 is close. They are still ironing things out with the "notify Triad" the latest in trials and tribulations (or "As the wheel turns")

 

[Guest AWFChief]

Maybe that thread is for E4 through E6 results and I'm getting confused by the board results in the title??

[Guest AME1]

. Anyone remember when the new method took affect (Triad)?

 

 

According to the New Method of Releasing Advancement/Board Results topic, this just got reinstated last year.

 

If I'm remembering correctly it started with the E-4 to E-6 results from last years March cycle.  I remember 2013 being on transfer leave spamming F5 with everyone else on the forum waiting for the list to come out.

[Guest kaput]

If I'm remembering correctly it started with the E-4 to E-6 results from last years March cycle.  I remember 2013 being on transfer leave spamming F5 with everyone else on the forum waiting for the list to come out.

Tis is true... last year was the first year BOL wasn't the go to place.

[Guest Chief Guns]

If I'm remembering correctly it started with the E-4 to E-6 results from last years March cycle.  I remember 2013 being on transfer leave spamming F5 with everyone else on the forum waiting for the list to come out.

No Triad notification in 2013. Cause my best friend was the first one to notify me that i made it lol.

[Tony]

Agree with what you all are saying - now I'm confused BUT the e4 - e6 would explain alot about the multiple cycles of this happening. What I do remember the most were the complaints, and they were legit.  

[Tony]

No Triad notification in 2013. Cause my best friend was the first one to notify me that i made it lol.

 

Yeah, so we're looking at the 2014 time frame?

(Hey, I guess that Alzheimer's is actually setting in...  )

[Guest AWFChief]

Here's what I was talking about

 

http://forum.navyadvancement.com/index.php/topic/733-new-method-of-releasing-advancement-board-results/

[Tony]

Here's what I was talking about

 

http://forum.navyadvancement.com/index.php/topic/733-new-method-of-releasing-advancement-board-results/

 

Go figure, the poll I set up on that very topic. Yep, Alzheimer...  

 

Now if I remember correctly (and obviously not taking it as gospel) there was a few months gap before I did that poll. But I think (never mind) 

[Guest kaput]

Yeah, so we're looking at the 2014 time frame?

(Hey, I guess that Alzheimer's is actually setting in...  )

At least now you have a very recognized condition that allows you to be bananas whenever you want!

[Tony]

yes it was around 2013 when they reinstated the Triad release, prior to that it was mostly social media release and no notification general release around 2011 and I can't remember prior to 2011 exactly how it went (I would guess general release with no notification as well through msg traffic or something), minus I believe two cycles ago where someone inadvertently released the e4-36 results early and though it wasn't a message that came out with the results, admin personnel were able to see people's prospective rate in certain systems, good times that was

 

Actually Triad is brand new so there wasn't a reinstatement. It was message traffic release to the commands, then they loosened the strings and released it here and there, then they implemented the Triad release with the 24hr wait period. In that 2011 time frame and before, that's when this forum got the results sooner than possible.